Software’s growth slowdown

Growth efficiency at North American software companies has taken a tumble. In recent years, these companies have faced greater competition and rising costs, resulting in a decline in global IT spending, senior partner Chandra Gnanasambandam and colleagues note. Software companies continued to invest in growth, but they were less efficient at producing new revenue, according to a McKinsey study of 116 companies. Median growth efficiency—defined as maximum growth with healthy margins—declined 50 percent from 2021 to 2023.

Growth efficiency in software companies declined by half from 2021 to 2023.

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Three charts show growth indicators for North American software companies between 2021 and 2023, measured quarterly. The charts are ordered as follows (from left to right):

  • A line graph shows revenue growth, measured as the quarter-on-quarter percentage change in revenue. Revenue growth peaked at about 35% in Q2 2021 and then declined, dropping to about 11% by Q4 2023.
  • Another line graph shows growth efficiency, calculated as a ratio comparing recurring revenue growth with sales and marketing spend. Growth efficiency declined by about 50% between 2021 and 2023, dropping from a high of 0.79 in Q1 2021 to 0.37 by Q4 2023.
  • A vertical bar graph shows total sales and marketing spend, measured in billions of dollars. Sales and marketing spend increased steadily from a little over $20 billion in Q1 2021 to just shy of $35 billion in Q4 2023, which demonstrates that despite increased investment in sales and marketing, software companies experienced a significant decline in growth efficiency from 2021 to 2023.

Source: S&P Global; McKinsey analysis.

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To read the article, see “How efficient growth can fuel enduring value creation in software,” July 29, 2024.