Sustainable fuel flies higher

This week, our charts feature the latest insights in aviation—from soaring fleet demands to landing the right talent and more.

Global projections for sustainable aviation fuel capacity in 2030 have increased significantly since 2022. According to partner Axel Esqué and coauthors, the projected 2030 volume has doubled, from seven million metric tons in 2022 to 14 million metric tons this year. Although the 2030 projection is now higher, the amount of fuel expected to be available in the near future has decreased since last year’s projection.

The announced projected global capacity for sustainable aviation fuel in 2030 has doubled since 2022.

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Three area charts show the announced projected global capacity for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from 2025 to 2030. The charts represent the outlooks during 2022, 2023, and 2024 and show that the projection in each period increased at a steady rate, culminating in the doubling of capacity by 2030. In 2022, the announced SAF capacity by 2030 was forecast at around 13 million metric tons. In 2023, it was forecast at around 23 million metric tons. In 2024, it was forecast at around 27 million metric tons, a substantial increase of about 14 million metric tons, or 111%, over the 2022 outlook.

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To read the article, see “How the aviation industry could help scale sustainable fuel production,” July 22, 2024.