Our Mobility Data

People mobility outlook

Data-driven analysis of modal splits, vehicle sales, and value pools for over ten modes and 120 countries, plus how to navigate a complex mobility ecosystem
Contact us

Navigate the future of mobility with our proprietary modeling on how people move and how this affects vehicle sales and value pools throughout the entire mobility ecosystem.

Our data and insights allow decision makers throughout the ecosystem to quantitatively assess demand and market attractiveness, successfully build new businesses, improve existing operations, or efficiently deploy capital.

We can additionally help with custom workshops or longer engagements, sharing the insights we have gained over the past years serving leaders on mobility topics.

Our mobility data products

Mobility mode splits

Analysis of mode splits for today and the future for all major modes of transport based on macroeconomic, regulatory, consumer behavioral, and technological effects. The model fosters understanding and deep insights into adoption of different modes of mobility including Mobility as a Service (MaaS).
Output
Mode split evolutions are based on forecasted passenger kilometers traveled for four main modes, i.e., private car, public transit, shared transport, and micromobility.
Capabilities

Granular view of mode splits until 2035 for 120 countries, split by all major transport modes and for different scenarios.

Modes include private car, public transit (incl. bus & rail), hailed mobility (ride-hailing, taxi, robo-taxi, robo-shuttle), self-serve mobility (incl. car rental, car sharing) and micromobility (incl. private and shared bicycles, mopeds, e-kickscooters).

Differentiator

McKinsey proprietary view on modal splits for 120 countries. Forecast considers country-specific target levels for GHG emissions as well as macroeconomic, consumer behavioral, and technological factors.

The scenarios are mainly calibrated via the achievement levels for country-specific GHG targets.

Vehicle sales and parc

Vehicle sales and parc outlook based on macroeconomic, regulatory, consumer behavioral, and technological effects to provide a demand-driven and production-independent perspective.
Output
Sales and parc volume outlook for passenger cars and light commercial vehicles.
Capabilities
Granular view on sales and parc volumes development for 120 countries until 2035, split by private versus shared ownership and for different scenarios.
Differentiator

McKinsey proprietary view on demand-based sales and parc volumes, accounting for macroeconomic, regulatory, consumer behavioral, and technological effects.

The scenarios are mainly calibrated via the achievement levels for country-specific GHG targets.

Mobility value pools

Mobility value pools until 2035 for all major modes of transport.
Output
Mobility value pools in USD based on sales volumes (for private modes), passenger kilometers traveled (for shared modes), and underlying price per vehicle/kilometer traveled. Available for over ten transport modes (including private car, autonomous and non-autonomous shared mobility, and micromobility.
Capabilities

Country-level view until 2035.

Available for three different scenarios covering the entire value chain per transport mode, including vehicle manufacturing, financing/insurance, operations, and mobility services (30+ granular value chain segments).

Additional granularity available for private vehicle ownership and user type segmentation.

Differentiator

McKinsey proprietary view on evolution of mobility value pools until 2035. Incorporates McKinsey expertise on all relevant value chain elements and combines view from proprietary McKinsey Mobility Market Model with underlying price evolutions for each mode.

Additional perspective on profitability for each value chain segment available.

Micromobility

Micromobility market sizing until 2035 based on macroeconomic, regulatory, and consumer behavioral effects.
Output

Micromobility market sizing for eight micromobility modes, including private and shared (electric) bicycles, e-kickscooters, and mopeds for 120 countries worldwide.

Available metrics include passenger kilometers traveled, sales, parc, and value pools.

Capabilities

Granular view of micromobility market split by mode, ownership type, and powertrain for 120 countries, accounting for different scenarios that consider country-specific targets for micromobility adoption.

Differentiator

Detailed breakdown of micromobility market drivers based on extensive research on micromobility usage and analysis of country-specific target achievements, consumer behavior, and other regulatory effects.

Explore more mobility data products

Mobility Consumer Insights
Mobility consumers’ pulse regularly taken across the globe through quantitative and qualitative research, combining the best of McKinsey consulting and world-class customer research
Electric vehicles
Mobility electrification model forecasting EV adoption and the corresponding required infrastructure, enabling quantitative assessment of demand and market attractiveness
Goods mobility
Comprehensive, data-driven suite of market models, including industry-wide profit pools, market projections for the adoption of new technologies, and a fleet market scan

Want to learn more about our data?

Contact us